WatchEnded

Road closure cluster in France

🇫🇷 France

Onset: 2026-07-08 · First detected: 2026-07-08T12:00:46.717160+00:00 · Last observed: 2026-07-08T12:00:46.717160+00:00 · Ended: 2026-07-09T00:00:57.843685+00:00

Generated at: 2026-07-12T00:00:51.613701+00:00 · The radar runs every 6 hours; data may lag by up to 6 hours.

Plain-language brief

What happened, who is affected, what similar past episodes looked like and what to do — every number links to its source.

What happened

ObservedOn 2026-07-08, our automated monitoring flagged a road disruption in France — rated watch — the lowest of our three alert levels.[Bison Futé Open Data France]
ObservedThe reading behind this alert: closure significant count at 7684 (the full technical detail is in the sections below).[Bison Futé Open Data France]

Who is affected

ObservedHotels, travel managers, OTAs and tour operators with guests in France during the event window are the most directly affected, together with travellers holding bookings there.[Bison Futé Open Data France]

What similar past episodes looked like

ObservedWe are not attaching a historical impact estimate here: our analogues are national, month-long patterns, and this is a localised, point-in-time event in France — a country-wide number would not describe it.[estimates.applicability_reason]

What to do now

RecommendationFollow the official sources linked in this report for France and reassess bookings before making changes.[Bison Futé Open Data France]

Impact

closure_significant_count	7684
summary_excerpt	{"active_event_files":7684}

Historical monthly context — not current conditionsAs of: 2026-07 · Disruption index: 49.01 · 0 months older than this event

How this was detected

Rule: road_closure_cluster_bison_fute

Method: deterministic-rule

Thresholds

metric	active_event_files
abs_min_event_files	9000
z_min	2
z_floor	5000

Observed

closure_significant_count	7684
summary_excerpt	{"active_event_files":7684}

Baseline

n_points	37
window_hours	541.62
mean	5598.54
std	839.74

Sources

Bison Futé Open Data France snapshotcollected: 2026-07-08T12:00:46.717160+00:00

Corroborating evidence

Independent live sources scanned for disruption-significant entries about this country. Only strict, disclosed rules count — routine entries are never counted.

meteoalarm-eumetnet1 matching entriesSnapshot
Rule: count the event country's Meteoalarm entry only when its max severity is Severe or Extreme with at least one active warning; Moderate/minor warning loads are routine
- FR — 250 — Extreme
viaggia-sicuri-it2 matching entriesSnapshot
Rule: count Viaggiare Sicuri 'ultimi avvisi' entries for the event country ONLY when the item's classified phenomenon (from its free-text title/excerpt) can corroborate the event type — a rail-strike or protest notice does not corroborate a seismic event; the feed only lists destinations with an active alert
- PARIGI: PREVISTA ALLERTA ROSSA PER "CANICOLA CALDO ESTREMO". — Si informa che i Servizi meteorologici di Parigi hanno indicato a partire dal mezzogiorno di sabato 11 luglio lo stato di allerta “canic
- FRANCIA: allerta meteo. — Le recenti condizioni meteorologiche estreme stanno interessando molte zone della Francia: si raccomanda di attenersi scrupolosamente alle indicazioni delle Autorità locali e

Sources scanned: auswaertiges-amt-api-de, emsc-seismic, france-diplomatie-travel, gdacs-live, mae-ro-travel, meteoalarm-eumetnet, minbuza-nl-travel, uk-fcdo-advisories, us-state-advisories, viaggia-sicuri-it

Estimates

Estimates are labeled model outputs derived from published historical artifacts — they are context, not forecasts.

Estimate unavailable — not enough historical data for this event type.

For AI agents

Machine-readable JSON for this page:

/data/api/v1/events/ev-road-closure-cluster-fr-20260708-6c3f48.json

Add as an MCP server (from the repo root):

claude mcp add travel-trends -- .venv/bin/python -m etl.mcp_server

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