WatchEnded

Road closure cluster in Netherlands

🇳🇱 Netherlands

Onset: 2026-10-23 · First detected: 2026-10-23T12:01:48.129593+00:00 · Last observed: 2026-10-23T18:01:49.420278+00:00 · Ended: 2026-10-24T06:01:53.978472+00:00

Generated at: 2026-10-25T18:03:01.856429+00:00 · The radar runs every 6 hours; data may lag by up to 6 hours.

Plain-language brief

What happened, who is affected, what similar past episodes looked like and what to do — every number links to its source.

What happened

ObservedOn 2026-10-23, our automated monitoring flagged a road disruption in Netherlands — rated watch — the lowest of our three alert levels.[Rijkswaterstaat Open Data Netherlands]
ObservedThe reading behind this alert: closure significant count at 52 (the full technical detail is in the sections below).[Rijkswaterstaat Open Data Netherlands]

Who is affected

ObservedHotels, travel managers, OTAs and tour operators with guests in Netherlands during the event window are the most directly affected, together with travellers holding bookings there.[Rijkswaterstaat Open Data Netherlands]

What similar past episodes looked like

ObservedWe are not attaching a historical impact estimate here: our analogues are national, month-long patterns, and this is a localised, point-in-time event in Netherlands — a country-wide number would not describe it.[estimates.applicability_reason]

What to do now

RecommendationFollow the official sources linked in this report for Netherlands and reassess bookings before making changes.[Rijkswaterstaat Open Data Netherlands]

Impact

closure_significant_count	52
summary_excerpt	{"active_situations":218,"by_record_type":{"VehicleObstruction":164,"Accident":16,"GeneralObstruction":36,"PoorEnvironmentConditions":2}}

Historical monthly context — not current conditionsAs of: 2026-10 · Disruption index: 0 · 0 months older than this event

How this was detected

Rule: road_closure_cluster_ndw

Method: deterministic-rule

Thresholds

significant_record_types	["Accident","GeneralObstruction","ReroutingManagement","RoadOrCarriagewayOrLaneManagement","WinterDrivingManagement"]
abs_min_situations	80
z_min	2
z_floor	45

Observed

closure_significant_count	52
summary_excerpt	{"active_situations":218,"by_record_type":{"VehicleObstruction":164,"Accident":16,"GeneralObstruction":36,"PoorEnvironmentConditions":2}}

Baseline

n_points	482
window_hours	3115.63
mean	21.35
std	14.44

Sources

Rijkswaterstaat Open Data Netherlands snapshotcollected: 2026-10-23T18:01:49.420278+00:00

Corroborating evidence

Independent live sources scanned for disruption-significant entries about this country. Only strict, disclosed rules count — routine entries are never counted.

meteoalarm-eumetnet1 matching entriesSnapshot
Rule: count the event country's Meteoalarm entry only when its max severity is Severe or Extreme with at least one active warning; Moderate/minor warning loads are routine
- NL — 28 — Severe

Sources scanned: auswaertiges-amt-api-de, emsc-seismic, france-diplomatie-travel, gdacs-live, mae-ro-travel, meteoalarm-eumetnet, minbuza-nl-travel, uk-fcdo-advisories, us-state-advisories, viaggia-sicuri-it

Estimates

Estimates are labeled model outputs derived from published historical artifacts — they are context, not forecasts.

Estimate unavailable — not enough historical data for this event type.

For AI agents

Machine-readable JSON for this page:

/data/api/v1/events/ev-road-closure-cluster-nl-20261023-a008bd.json

Add as an MCP server (from the repo root):

claude mcp add travel-trends -- .venv/bin/python -m etl.mcp_server

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